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First leg of the Champions League knockout stage where Liverpool and welcome Bayern from Munich. Most experts forecast that that this year can belong to Liverpool who facing double Crown Premier League and of course Champions League's title. Unfortunately wasn't lucky with draw as Munich is much more experienced in Europe With such quality players who stay on this level for a few seasons already.
I will go with a statistical forecast of shots on goal and it will be that Bayern Munich and personal averages say that this outcome is very possible tonight to go through. The line somehow is low taking into account the offensive potential of the Germans.
For example Bavarians recorded in every group stage clashes correctly speaking 10 & 4 vs Ajax, 7 & 4 vs AEK, 10 & 6 vs Benfica.
For contrast The Reds not received more or equal to 4 only twice against poor Red Star and Napoli.
To wrap it up I will bring up last but not less important indicators, funny fact, only Porto weren't capable to take less than 4 Shots On Target from all recent pairs of 1/16 so far which gives positive prognostic before upcoming second double fixtures. That means we see quality teams with offensive intention to play. In my opinion Bayern will not be forced to defend themself only so this line is undervalued by bookies.
For a long time Stamford Bridge was a notoriously hard place to go for Red Devils. They have only won twice there since 2002 and have lost 14 out of their past 22 visits.
What is matter than recent performance and here is a deal. After a large defeat to City (6:0), Chelsea almost lost the victory in Sweden, playing against Malmo in 1/16 of the European League (1:2). Dont get fouled by rsult sesen only on a paper..
Manchester United also disappointed their fans this week. PSG verified that United is mile away from level presents in CL.
I decided to look closer to Chelsea playmaker Jorginho.
I see quite huge exaggeration for Jorge Jorginho's game, for a long time he never accomplished this number, he got 53 passes against Malmo. Also 60 against City. 83 in fact against Huddiesfiel who were outplayed by ball possessions will not happened today. Again only 59 vs Bouremouth. With top side Tottenham 57 again. Resistance stay o 60 points line. Okey got 80 against fantasy offensive Arsenal.
He makes around 91 passes so line set by bookies is also high ~84 but in my eyes would not happened today. For all of his passing abilities, Chelsea lead the passing stats but are fourth on the league table, 10 points behind Liverpool, having drawn blanks in their last two home matches against Leicester City and Southampton.
Many Chelsea fans are then asking why all these passes when they are not leading to goals. He recorded zero assist so far.When Mauricio Sarri made a late entrance into Stamford Bridge last summer, it was in tow with his midfield brain from Napoli, Jorge Luiz Frello Filho – Jorginho – for a princely £57 million. He can’t run. So he doesn’t give you anything defensively, and he doesn’t give you anything up the other end of the pitch,''
Pogba is much stronger than him. If Ole comes up with good plan I predict a hard time for host playmaker which lead him to attempt less completed passes. If you look on trio from United physicality of all of those players, United's midfielders are a lot bigger and more powerful, which is another reason I think this is an area in which they will be able to impose themselves on the game.With Paul Pogba, Ander Herrera and Nemanja Matic in the team, he has the choice of a single or double pivot at every stage of the game. Against Spurs and Arsenal, United essentially played with a midfield diamond and two forwards in wide areas. It worked very well. Pogba can cause Jorginho problems. He has to show up after red card in Champions League.
It is easy job to analyses The Blues as we know what is up to with stable and unchangeable 433 formation. The boss is not going to move away from his favorite formation, and his players are very restricted in terms of alternating positions and where they operate on the pitch. This game might be win in a middle of a pitch, That era of a grass where United failed against Paris in Champions League.
Especially when United weakness exposed after injuries forced to sub will Jesse Lingard and Anthony Martial after a break. They are not available today as well. From othwmer side Solskjaer will still have plenty of options over how he sets his team up, and crucially he will be able to change things during the game too. Form tacticaly perspective he showed flexibility has already seen his side win at Tottenham and Arsenal in the past month and it could be the key to them beating Chelsea on Monday too..
Last time a few weeks ago 2:7 (A).
Club Brugge and Genk play in the Europa League where they stayed undefeated in the round of 32’s first leg. Reigning champion Club Brugge unexpectedly had many problems and leading Genk has even 11 points more at the moment. Funny fact, Brugge is a lot more efficient than any other team. They not only shoot for goal more often than Racing Genk, they also shoot more often On Target (42%) than the Limburgers (34%). Many of those attempts turn to corner kicks. One of ex-player called Brugge as "a machine which relies on their automatisms".
However in mutual duels Bruges has been unable to win in Genk since 2014, Blauw-zwart found their momentum at continue in good moment, so I do believe will get good fight at the Luminus Arena today. I was leaning on total corners but this line seem good for me even if odds aren't that high (average takes 5.34 per game).
Rovers will fancy their chances in the club history at a sold-out Keepmoat Stadium. Have banked around £400,000 in prize money by reaching the fifth round for the first time since 1956, and will earn a further £360,000 if they make the last eight.
'It's the first time the club has been to this stage in 63 years and we've got a chance to make history — not equal history — by getting to the quarter-final,' McCann said.
'It sounds mad but we have absolutely nothing to lose.
'My message to the players is, "Go and give it everything you have. Your family is in the stands watching you, make them proud".
Opportunity certainly knocks. What a chance for Doncaster Rovers to write a special chapter in their history and reach the FA Cup quarter-finals for the first time.
Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson: "Now, more than ever, you need to be wary in these sort of games.
"If you lose to a lower league team, it is seen as a giant-killing. If we had lost to Tottenham, no-one would have batted an eyelid.
For the record Doncaster fly high with numbers that why for lower ranked team line is pump so high 9.5 Match Shots draw by bookies. At home in League 1 produce around at least 16 Shots by them self, in FA so far have not meet any team of CP caliber but also look overish (for instance 16 attempts vs Oldham in FA Cup).
From opposite force in Eagles we can trust, it is very positive and open team, doesn't matter what quality of rival is waiting they always delivery, vs Soton 15, 'Pool 10, vs Wolves 15 which gives average 15 per away clash.
Valladolid total outsider will minimal chance to get anything from this battle since FCB in super form. as Visitors they don't take much in first halfs, got zero shots against Bilbao and for compirasion to strong rival likes Valencia again null attempt except scored goal. Barcelona willing to close the match as fast as is possible in order to rest and slow down before Champions League in next week.
The Premier League champions travel to south Wales knowing their opponents have already beaten Leicester and Middlesbrough in the competition.
Newport knows how to use set pieces in transition to link with score so try to produce a lot of them during certain games. In last local hosted fixture overcome MK Dons with 11-5 corners (8-1 in first half already). In FA Cup journey took 6-5 CK with Boro, and allowed 3-8 corners over Leicester who dominated largy by most of time. The same scenario expect from City whitelist The Citzens have much better strikers so goals will come with matter of time.
Guardiola mentioned on press conference about his rival: "They are taller and stronger than us. In some areas they will be better than us,".
"[Newport] have players who have scored 14 or 15 goals; they are incredible on the set pieces."
Having said that I assume that loads of shots will be feeded deep fall back defense of outsider and many ball will be block and turn to corner kicks. Newport also wants to use their power to find a net and willing to build actions from set pieces. City won't to faul at all, line of 7 fouls set by bookies speak clearly about that, so corners and throw in is the only one weapon for today battle.
Have to use Bet Builder to create a single bet.
To analyses current event we have to think here and now, to the competition Real Madrid returns at the best moment of the season while opposite things go for Dutch team. After a few months where Madrid has been terrible, they reached level of their potential and race for titles are played in the best possible way.
Like I said Ajax is going through the worst moment of the season with two defeats in the last three days in the Dutch league, with memorable large defeat 6:2 to Feyenoord. The same team played very well face to face, back to back with Bayern in more equal manner than it seemed to see the name of the clubs since Ajax came at a good time. Still, motivation is here, the Dutch club have reached the round of 16 for the first time since 2005/06 but have never won at this stage of the UEFA Champions League.
In general terms Ajax's core is offensive football and there is no secret that they will try to unlock Galacticos no matter of time on a clock and current result on scoreboard. Speak of Erik ten Hag, Ajax coach proofs: :It's up to us to pick ourselves up. We have to play our own game on Wednesday, because it does not matter who your opponents are – you saw how we did against Bayern Munich [1-1a, 3-3h in the group stage]. We have to focus on our football and enjoy it.".
In contrast, despite of rising form nobody shout Real as a favorite to win CL in this year. They have continued their record of appearing in the UEFA Champions League round of 16 every year since its introduction in 2003/04 – and have not lost a tie at this juncture in nine years.
Both teams have fast players and very skillful, both able to play dynamic fast football, no doubt tactical fouls will appear, so booking should not be a problem. Maybe Ramos to get book is obviously object but I am pretty sure that both teams will be caution.
Feyenoord take De Graafschap in the 21th round of the Eredivisie.
'Flu virus at De Graafschap still has two players: Super farmers severely weakened'
Even without the info Feyenoord would be strong favorite to win this meeting.
It is the second time this season that Feyenoord and De Graafschap meet each other. Earlier this football year, the duel at De Vijverberg was lost 2-0.
Feyenoord wants to show itself the best side on Saturday night after the 2-1 loss at Excelsior. 'That we have to react has been the case for many years,' Van Bronckhorst acknowledged. "But that should not be normal. If you really are and want to be top, matches like those against Excelsior are the matches in which such a thing is not allowed to happen. I just want to put a series down, because that is the basis for success. '
There is no value in a market, so better to catch something in-play, what is sure except goals before kick off loads of corners to generate by host. After defeat in derby will be super motivated and ready to hammer weakened side. Feyenoord is third the most overish team in the Eredivisie. Build average 12 corners per game including 7.90 by them self. Since this event expect to be one way train I support host to take a lot of them.
Brescia is the current leader of the second division Italy, Serie B and the most goalscorer team.
Of 21 games he has played so far he has given the both score in 18 of them (85.7%) of the occasions.
Rival is Carpi, in relegation places, representing a good average of 2.7 goals per game. In this
season has given the both score in 13 of 21 games, which puts 61.9% of matches.
The most breakable stats is head to head from past years, in last 5th meetings always both found a
All we know both teams from the same city but totally different vision of football. Atletico more compact while Galacticos more open, offensive. Despite of prestige in the city RM has more to lose here. In case of dropping any points Barcelona would take 10 or more points ahead. So I expect a Real Madrid going all out and having all the available attack men possible to build actions and try go to open the wall.
In recent Cola Del Rey battle Real managed to take a lead in first half, unfortunately for rest of my bets decided to fall back And goal the advantage of 0-1 and the return in the Bernabeu. In this case it won't happen again.
Stats speak loud about possible scenario, in last 5 league outgoings R.Madrid achieved 6 corners against Espanyol, 5 corners against Betis, 4 against Villarreal, 6 against Huesca and 4 against Eibar.
You should notice that Atlético de Madrid is the second Spanish team that takes the most out of the corner in La Liga (11,05) which give 6.36 in average receiving.
Dortmund played 120 minutes in cup and Reus is out for this match. Can be difficult ahead of Champions League in next midweek. Some other players in doubtful condition. Hoffe is solid team, results do not reflect them but will defend whole time.